JOSH BLOG

Bets, breakdowns, and market context — updated throughout the day.

Wednesday, April 8

(Updated 1:30 PM EST)

JOSH STRAIGHT BETS

Aaron Gordon U 24.5 PRA (-104 FD)

Chet Holmgren O 14.5 PTS (-122 CZ)

Dylan Harper U 27.5 PRA (-113 CZ)

JOSH ALTS, PARLAYS, & LONGSHOTS

Write Ups

Aaron Gordon

AGo has played 33’ and 41’ in the last two games. For a guy who's missed so much time with soft tissue injury this season, keeping his minutes to 20-25 max makes sense here.

Dylan Harper

Not today, King. Did you know: Dylan Harper hasn't played 30 minutes once this season? As a result, even in games where he plays 25-29 minutes, he's averaging 24 PRA per game, only going over in 5 of 25 games. There's just no correlation to Wemby/Castle missing and Harper skyrocketing in minutes. Also, POR has been the 3rd best defense in the league over the last 10 games, playing at the 15th fastest pace, way down from 2nd fastest in the league for most of the season. It's almost like having Jrue Holiday and Robert Williams around has made them better on defense and slower as a whole...

Chet Holmgren

Chet is playing without IHart today who's currently Doubtful. This game has a 6.5 spread so I don't think we're gonna see the 30+ point blowouts OKC has been handing out recently. In 17 games with J Dub/SGA and no Ihart, he's at 30 minutes per game / 18.4 ppg / 22% usage rate. As long as this game doesn't get outta hand, I think he's a 1-2 points short of what his line should be.

betting edge blogs

SwishLand NBA Matchup Edges Wednesday 3/4

SwishLand NBA Matchup Edges Wednesday 3/4

NBA Matchup Edges, how similar players typically perform against this opponent. SwishLand Projections on the Land Your Bets network for Wednesday 3/4. ...more

NBA Bets

March 04, 20261 min read

SwishLand NBA Matchup Edges Tuesday 3/3

SwishLand NBA Matchup Edges Tuesday 3/3

NBA Matchup Edges, how similar players typically perform against this opponent. SwishLand Projections on the Land Your Bets network for Tuesday 3/3. ...more

NBA Bets

March 03, 20261 min read

SwishLand Projections Edges Tuesday 3/3

SwishLand Projections Edges Tuesday 3/3

SwishLand Projections Top 5 NBA player projection vs sportsbook differences for Tuesday 3/3 from SwishLand Projections on the Land Your Bets network. ...more

NBA Bets

March 03, 20263 min read

SwishLand NBA Matchup Edges Monday 3/2

SwishLand NBA Matchup Edges Monday 3/2

NBA Matchup Edges, how similar players typically perform against this opponent. SwishLand Projections on the Land Your Bets network for Monday 3/2. ...more

NBA Bets

March 02, 20261 min read

SwishLand Projections Edges Monday 3/2

SwishLand Projections Edges Monday 3/2

SwishLand Projections Top 5 NBA player projection vs sportsbook differences for Monday 3/2 from SwishLand Projections on the Land Your Bets network. ...more

NBA Bets

March 02, 20263 min read

SwishLand Projections Edges Friday 2/27

SwishLand Projections Edges Friday 2/27

SwishLand Projections Top 5 NBA player projection vs sportsbook differences for Friday 2/27 from SwishLand Projections on the Land Your Bets network. ...more

NBA Bets

February 27, 20263 min read

nba PROJECTIONS edges

Where our projections differ most from sportsbook lines

nba HOT & COLD edges

Which players have recently been under or over-performing

nba MATCHUP edges

How similar players typically perform against this opponent

nba INJURY edges

Which players are out or questionable — and who benefits most

No refunds, all purchases are final.

There are no refunds to any subscription purchases. We retain the right to cancel any subscription due to hateful or abusive comments.

Access to the Land Your Bets Discord server is an additional privilege of all member subscriptions. We retain the right to remove Discord access in case of violation of community rules.

​We do not share end-user information with third parties or affiliates for marketing or promotional purposes.

© 2026 Land Your Bets LLC. All rights reserved.