NFL Sunday Week 10 Recap
Sunday Week 10 Record: 3-2, +0.4u
❌ Bijan Robinson O 4.5 REC (-133 DK | 1.33u)
✅ Colston Loveland O 28.5 Rec Yds (-114 FD | 1.14u)
✅ Nico Collins O 64.5 Rec Yds (-114 FD)
✅ Woody Marks O 12.5 Rec Yds (-112 DK | 1.12u)
❌ Oronde Gadsden O 52.5 Rec Yds (-114 FD | 1.14u)
Write Ups For Week 10
Bijan Robinson (RB) – Atlanta Falcons
Bijan Robinson’s role as a receiver has exploded in recent weeks, and this matchup sets up perfectly for another high-volume passing workload. He’s projected for around six targets against Indianapolis in a game expected to feature a negative game script inside the dome against a fast-paced Colts offense. Robinson played 96% of snaps last week—his highest mark of the season—and saw career highs with 10 targets and 8 receptions. The Falcons continue to lean on him as both a rusher and their most reliable short-area outlet, especially with limited wide receiver depth. Facing an Indy defense that’s allowed the second-most targets to running backs this year (60 total, 6.7 per game), Robinson’s receiving prop remains one of the strongest correlated plays on the board.
Colston Loveland (TE) – Chicago Bears
Colston Loveland has emerged as the clear top tight end in Chicago, even with Cole Kmet back in uniform. Last week, Loveland handled 81% of offensive snaps and saw seven targets, while the rest of the tight-end group combined for just two looks. Kmet, who opened the season as an every-down player, saw his snap share plummet to 26%, a massive shift that speaks volumes about the team’s confidence in Loveland. His strong combination of route sharpness and blocking reliability has made him indispensable in both play-action and quick-pass concepts. With the Bears offense trending toward tighter target funnels, Loveland’s 28.5-yard receiving line looks modest for a player entrenched in such a stable, high-usage role.
Nico Collins (WR) – Houston Texans
Nico Collins continues to serve as the steady engine of Houston’s passing game, and his chemistry with Davis Mills keeps his floor remarkably stable. In Mills’ last start, Collins drew seven targets and turned them into five catches for 69 yards, showcasing their established rhythm on timing routes and crossers. Jacksonville’s secondary has struggled mightily against wide receivers this season, ranking 26th in receiving yards allowed, and Collins has historically torched this matchup — averaging 12 targets, nine catches, and 124 yards across his last three meetings with the Jags. Given the volume projection and the weakness of Jacksonville’s perimeter coverage, this 59.5-yard line looks very attainable.
Woody Marks (RB) – Houston Texans
Rookie running back Woody Marks continues to make a name for himself as a dual-threat option out of the backfield. Jacksonville’s defense presents the perfect matchup for his receiving upside — they rank sixth in yards allowed to running backs through the air and give up the third-most yards after the catch to the position. Marks currently leads all NFL running backs in yards per reception, ahead of stars like Bijan Robinson, De’Von Achane, and Christian McCaffrey, which speaks to his explosive ability in space. At just 13.5 receiving yards, this line feels notably short given both his efficiency and the Jaguars’ vulnerability to RB pass-catching production.
Oronde Gadsden (TE) – LA Chargers
Orande Gadsden’s usage and efficiency metrics point toward an upcoming breakout, and the matchup with Pittsburgh’s defense only strengthens the case. The Steelers are surrendering some of the league’s highest receiving totals, allowing the most yards to wide receivers and the third-most to tight ends. Gadsden’s role has expanded dramatically — now playing 80% of snaps and running 100% of the available routes on passing opportunities. His underlying metrics are elite for a hybrid tight end: fifth in average depth of target, sixth in deep targets, and eighth in total air yards, all in just seven games. With that kind of usage profile and this defensive matchup, 52.5 receiving yards looks well within reach.
