🏀 NBA Finals Game 4 Bets

Chet Holmgren U 10.5 RA (-135 CZR)

Playable to -145

Chet may play another 30+ minutes, but he played above his pay grade on the boards and ast last game. He grabbed almost 60% of his Reb chances last game. In the playoffs he's at 52% and in the reg season still just 54%. He also got 2 ast on 3 potential ast, converting 66% of them as opposed to the season and playoffs where he averages less than 3 potentials per game and barely 1 apg. There are still a lot of ways this goes under.

Jalen Williams U 33.5 PRA (-118 MGM)

Playable to -135

J Dub played super well on Wednesday and still only got 1 more PRA than this line. If Aaron Nesmith can stay on the court this game, j dub is right back to getting locked up to less than 30 PRA.

Ben Sheppard U 0.5 AST (+105 DK)

Playable to -125

He's barely averaging 1 potential ast per game in the playoffs, going under in 14 of 19 games. He should see fewer minutes than last game where Nembhard and Nesmith and Siakam all had 3 fouls in the first half, leading to about 4-5 more minutes for all those guys. I can easily see Sheppard playing 10 minutes in this one.

Obi Toppin U 15.5 PRA (+100 CZR)

Playable to -120

No way Obi sees 28 minutes if all 3 of those Pacers players aren't in foul trouble. Even then he went under this number. He hit a ton of 3s game 1 to go over this and I'm not confident in his ability to keep doing that.

Tyrese Haliburton O 2.5 3PM (+106 FD)

Playable to -115

The most reliable Hali over play imo. Even when his shot attempts have been low vs OKC this year, hes still shooting 7+ 3s per game. I'll take close to + money for 3 of them to go in.

Andrew Nembhard SGP 10+ PTS / U 8.5 RA (+178 DK | .6u)

Playable to +140

Nemby has taken a major back seat in his offensive playmaking vs OKC, down to just 6.5 Reb chances and 4 potential ast the last 2. I still think he's going to have to take about 8-10 shots within the flow of the offense so this sets up nicely.

TJ McConnell O 11.5 PA (+100 CZR)

Playable to -125

I still have TJMC at 14 PA in 18 minutes. He's at 14.8 per game in the playoffs at home and 12.4 in the playoffs as a whole. I don't have any reason to think he won't do this again so as long as we're getting less than 12.5 PA as our line, I like this over.