
🏀 NBA Finals Game 3 Bets
TJ McConnellO10.5PA (-110FD)
Playable to -130
I could see him getting 10+ pts in this one. He's at 47 touches per game in the Finals and the playoffs as a whole, which is wild when you consider he's only playing 19 minutes per game. At home in the playoffs he's at 14.8 PA per game.
Andrew Nembhard O 16.5PA (-114 FD)
Playable to -130
Still at 19 PA per game over his last 35 playoff games dating back to last season. Also over in 5 of his last 6 vs OKC... He lost about 4-5 minutes of q4 playing time when Carlisle strategically gave up earlier than some might have thought he would (me), but that should only make this game more of a priority to play it all the way out with his closing lineups.
Jalen Williams U 32.5 PRA (-115 B365)
Playable to -135
When the roulette wheel hits black 5 times in a row, I'm keeping my money on black. In Jalen Williams' case, he hasn't hit 30 PRA vs IND this season. He's shot poorly to be sure, but that's easily explainable: he's never shot well in the playoffs over his only 2 postseasons and Aaron Nesmith/Siakam are in his jersey from 28' and in. He might shoot more and/or better this game than he has so far, and if he goes over as a result, god bless but I'm coming back to it in Game 4.
Chet Holmgren U 9.5 RA (-114 FD)
Playable to -135
The points have gotten super low at 14.5 so I don't feel as comfortable including those but his boards are still high at 8.5 and he's averaging 1 potential ast per game so far vs IND. That's also explainable by the fact that he's standing in the corner on offense and not nearly as involved in the action. OKC is barely running PnR with him as they'd rather let SGA go 1v1 since IND doesn't bring the double team almost ever until Q4. As for the boards, he's guarding Myles Turner the whole game, standing by the 3P line as he does. He's also not getting 30 minutes as OKC goes small a lot and IHart may be in line for even a few more minutes than the 22 he played last game.
Lu Dort U 8.5 PTS (-125 MGM)
Playable to 7.5 PTS (-110)
Lu Dort is hilarious.. 5 ppg on the road in the playoffs, under 7.5 pts in all but 1 playoff game. It's a bad series for him in general with the way IND covers spot up shooters. I'd play U 7.5 pts for those who can only get that number.

