🏀 NBA Finals Game 1 Bets
Pascal Siakam Double Double (+490 FD | .3u)
Playable to +400
Pascal SiakamO25.5PR (-120DK)
Playable to 26.5
If you saw the YT episode from last night, you know I love Pascal in this series. His role in this series is to be 1 pass away from Haliburton so that when he gets doubled and overcrowded, Siakam is there as an outlet. That's going to put him in position to be a primary playmaker and scorer against an imbalanced defense. His rebounding is going to be massive bc I'm not sure Turner or Thomas Bryant are going to get a ton of run this series. That leaves Nesmith and Pascal as the small ball bigs. If Chet is out there, that'll be his matchup most often, but I expect Nesmith to guard him as well. Either way, he's going to be off ball and in good rebounding position, as was the case during the reg season when these teams met and he pulled down 10 and 9 boards on an average of 12.5 rebound chances.
Andrew Nembhard O 15.5 PA (-130 B365)
Playable to 16.5
Similar look for Nembhard in this series, who averaged 15.5 potential assists vs OKC in the regular season. His touches are going to be sky high as he'll bring the ball up a bunch to relieve Haliburton from that role, since Hali will be getting double teamed consistently. He'll also be one of the top 2 outlets for Hali alongside Siakam with the option to pass or score after Hali passes out of the double team.
Jalen Williams U 34.5 PRA (-115 CZR)
Playable to 33.5
I've been doubting this dude all playoffs and just haven't bet his under enough. Well, we're now at 34.5 PRA for his line, which is up from 29.5-31.5 it's been at most of the playoffs since he's barely gone over at all. Indy isn't exactly a world beater on defense, but they're going to stick Nesmit on him and a bit of Siakam so he's going to have a + defender on him at all times. Add in the fact that IND is selling out to stop the transition and J Dub is OKC's top transition player, I don't see him having a monster series of any kind and 34.5 PRA would be monster numbers for him.
