NBA Bet Recaps Tuesday 1/20

Tuesday Record: 3-4, -0.3u

❌ Amen Thompson U 5.5 AST (-162 FD | .5u)

❌ Dylan Harper U 3.5 AST (-135 DK | .5u)

✅ Julian Champagnie O 16.5 PR (-106 DK | .5u)

❌ Julius Randle O 5.5 AST (+102 FD | .5u)

✅ Sandro Mamukelashvili O 7.5 REB (+124 FD | .25u) / ✅ DD (+364 DK | .25u)

❌Jalen Green 15+ PTS (+130 | .5u)

NBA 25-26 YTD: 252-332, -23.8u

Tuesday 1/20 Write-Ups & Recaps

Jalen Green 15+ PTS (+130 | .5u)

He was ruled OUT for Monday and IN for Tuesday at the same time before their win vs BKN. He took 20 shots in 29 minutes in his first game back vs LAC on 11/6 before leaving for another 2 ½ months. He’s the only Suns guy I’m considering at 13.5 pts or so strictly based on the fact that he’s probably itching to play and loves to chuck in normal situations.

Sandro Mamukelashvili O 7.5 REB (+124 FD | .5u) / DD (+364 DK | .5u)

Without Murray-Boyles or Poeltl, I think we can expect 30+ minutes from Sandro. The Dubs are an average rebonding team that allows a ton of rebs to centers. He’s played 5 games with 28+ minutes, averaging 8.6 boards on 16 reb chances with 2 double doubles.

Julius Randle O 5.5 AST (+102 FD | .5u)

We’re getting great odds on a fair number vs a terrible defense that he’s already dimed up for 12 and 7 ast in their first 2 meetings. He actually has more ast per game with Ant on the season as well (5.7 with / 4.6 without).

Julian Champagnie O 16.5 PR (-106 DK | .5u)

I understand the matchup isn’t good for him, but this is silly low. He hit HOU for 22 and 7 in their first matchup with Fox OUT (Vassell out is even better). Projections agree and the matchup data agrees as well.

Dylan Harper U 3.5 AST (-135 DK)

Same number he just had vs UTA in way easier matchup + the likelihood that he saw increased minutes in a blowout win. Now, in a much tougher matchup that should absolutely be closer than 15 points, we have to fade that. We have his fair market ast at 3.2 and he’s playing a top 3 assist defense

Amen Thompson U 5.5 AST (-162 FD)

We have fair market for him at 5.2 and he’s playing a top 7 defense limiting ast opportunities. I also would fade points but it’s 16.5 which is definitely low for him, so with Wemby at the rim I’ll likely just stay away.