Week 17 Christmas Football Best Bets

Nate's Christmas Bets Week 17

NFL Bets
December 24, 2025•3 min read

Christmas Bets Week 17

Treylon Burks o22.5 Rec Yds (-115 MGM) 2u

Burks 30+ Rec Yds (+120 MGM)

George Pickens o78.5 Rec Yds (-111 DK)

Pickens Longest Rec o26.5 Yds (-115 DK)

Jahmyr Gibbs o32.5 Rec Yds (-115 MGM)

Chris Oladukon o147.5 passing yds (-115 MGM) .5u

Oladukon ATTD (+1100 FD) .1u

Chiefs +13.5 (-110 FanDuel) 1.5u

Treylon Burks o22.5 Rec Yds (-115 BetMGM)

Ladder to 30+ Rec Yds (+120)

This is my favorite bet for Christmas as a buy-low opportunity on a rising young receiver. Washington is giving the former No. 12 overall pick a ton of usage and that should continue to rise with Jaylin Lane (ankle) on I.R. Dallas is one of the best matchups possible for an athletic WR and Travon Diggs is back to line up against Terry McLaurin. The biggest concern is QB play with Josh Johnson in line to start, but he should be better with some prep time. Burks led the Commanders in Air Yards with an 83% snap share and 88% route rate last Saturday vs. a much better Eagles secondary.

George Pickens o78.5 Rec Yds (-111 DraftKings)

Longest Reception o26.5 Yds (-115)

Pickens should see a ton of work over the final two games of a contract year. He just went for 130 yards against a Chargers defense that is elite limiting explosive pass plays and Washington is bottom-3 in that regard. Pickens has dominated targets against zone coverage and run the most routes against man coverage among WRs this year. He's drawn 100+ Air Yards in 5 of his last 6 games and Dak Prescott has been money throwing downfield.

Jahmyr Gibbs o32.5 Rec Yds (-115 BetMGM)

Playable to 34.5 Rec Yds

Don't have a strong read on this game with the Lions on the fringe of elimination and Max Brosmer making his second start for the Vikings. But I trust Gibbs to keep getting receiving usage. Since Dan Campbell took over play calling, Gibbs has a 64% route rate and is averaging 8.5 targets over 7 games. His rushing production has fallen off a cliff and the Vikings held him to 25 rushing yards last meeting, so I trust Detroit to scheme him the ball in other ways. Would also consider Gibbs o28.5 Rush + Rec Yds in the 1Q (-114 FanDuel) since the Lions feature him a ton on opening drives.

Chris Oladukon o147.5 Pass Yds (-115 BetMGM) .5u

Sprinkle on ATTD (+1100 FD) .1u / Betting Chiefs +13.5 at 1.5u

A small play to close the Christmas slate and a correlation with a strong lean on the Chiefs (+13.5) covering a massive spread at home. Oladukon is athletic and seemed poised enough to execute Andy Reid's offense. He might get OT Jaylon Moore (knee) back to hold off Denver's elite pass rush. Would expect Travis Kelce to have a solid game against a secondary that funnels targets inside, but books have pulled his props for now. Oladukon was solid (11-16, 111 yards) @ Tennessee with zero reps and the Chiefs should empty the playbook for him in their final home game this season.

betslybland your betssports bettingnfl bettingNate WeitzerTNF FootballNFL Week 17NFL Christmas Day
With 10+ years covering the NFL and NBA for The Boston Globe and ESPN, Nate brings a journalist’s depth of knowledge and an analyst’s precision to the betting world. For the past eight years, he’s been a senior NFL handicapper for TheLines.com, where his sharp reads on sides, totals, and player props have built him a loyal following. Nate’s success starts with his early market entry, identifying soft lines before the public and the books fully adjust, locking in value where others hesitate. He has a keen eye for under-the-radar player prop lines, recognizing inefficiencies days before game day. Like the most successful NFL bettors, Nate blends deep statistical modeling with an unmatched ability to interpret coach interviews, injury reports, and subtle scheme changes that can swing a game — or a bet. If you want disciplined, data-driven bets with the kind of detail only a seasoned pro can provide, Nate Weitzer is exactly who you want in your corner this NFL season.

Nate Weitzer

With 10+ years covering the NFL and NBA for The Boston Globe and ESPN, Nate brings a journalist’s depth of knowledge and an analyst’s precision to the betting world. For the past eight years, he’s been a senior NFL handicapper for TheLines.com, where his sharp reads on sides, totals, and player props have built him a loyal following. Nate’s success starts with his early market entry, identifying soft lines before the public and the books fully adjust, locking in value where others hesitate. He has a keen eye for under-the-radar player prop lines, recognizing inefficiencies days before game day. Like the most successful NFL bettors, Nate blends deep statistical modeling with an unmatched ability to interpret coach interviews, injury reports, and subtle scheme changes that can swing a game — or a bet. If you want disciplined, data-driven bets with the kind of detail only a seasoned pro can provide, Nate Weitzer is exactly who you want in your corner this NFL season.

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