Week 5 NFL Best Bets

Nate's NFL Bets Sunday Week 5

NFL Bets
October 02, 2025•2 min read

NFL Week 5 Bets

Quinshon Judkins ATTD (+145 DK)

SGP - Judkins 60+ Rush Yds / Browns +4.5 (+134 DK)

Michael Pittman o48.5 Rec Yds (-114 FD)

Ja'Marr Chase o62.5 Rec Yds (-111 DK)

Ja'Marr Chase 70+ Rec Yds (+122) .5u

Ja'Marr Chase 80+ Rec Yds (+186) .25u

Ja'Marr Chase 90+ Rec Yds (+271) .1u

Quinshon Judkins ATTD (+145 DraftKings)

Playable to +120

It's his backfield with no competition. Judkins is No. 1 among RBs in Dominator Rating (combining team yardage and TDs) with 2 of the Browns 6 scores this season, and he has 7 RZ carries in his last two outings. Dude pops on tape and having a dual-threat QB in Dillon Gabriel only adds to his potential. Vikings run defense has been horrendous in 3 of 4 games (123 YPG allowed at 4.9 YPC) and it's no coincidence Van Ginkel has been out in those three. He's likely out again in London.

SGP - Judkins 60+ Rush Yds / Browns +4.5 (+134 DraftKings)

The Vikings OL is in shambles going into a matchup with Myles Garrett and arguably the best front seven in football. Carson Wentz has taken 9 sacks in two starts and loves to hold the ball for too long. Turnovers could flip this game and Browns (+180) are getting huge value on the ML due to the rookie QB move, but it can't get much worse than Flacco. If Cleveland wins or keeps it close in a game with a 35.5 total, it will likely be by riding Judkins. Feel free to ladder this up to 70+ or 80+ yards and consider swinging .25 units on the Browns ML in a juicier parlay.

Michael Pittman Jr. O 48.5 Rec Yds (-114 FanDuel)

Playable to 54.5 Rec Yds

This line is much lower at FanDuel with a 52.5 consensus number. He's healthier than last year when he had the back injury and Pittman has hit 40-plus yards in all four games despite tough matchups. Adonai Mitchell might lose snaps after his mistakes last week and Alec Pierce (concussion) is Q. Raiders corner Eric Stokes is planning to play through a knee injury. Raiders play zone at the second-highest rate (84.8%) and Pittman avg 2.32 YPRR against zone (compared to 1.53 vs. man).

Ja'Marr Chase O 62.5 Rec Yds (-111 DraftKings)

Playable to 68.5 Rec Yds

Willing to buy incredibly low on the basement Bengals after two disastrous road games. We forget so quickly how it can look when a backup QB gets decent protection and can pepper one of the top WRs in the game. Chase went for 14-165 in Week 2 against the Jaguars with Browning hitting him on 11 of those catches. This is a prime matchup to consider Chase with a little ladder considering the Lions have been elite stopping the run, the Bengals can't run AT ALL, and the Lions secondary is hit by major injuries with D.J. Reed out, and starting CB Terrion Arnold and Khalil Dorsey Q.

betslybland your betssports bettingnfl bettingnflNate Weitzernfl propsWeek 5 NFL
With 10+ years covering the NFL and NBA for The Boston Globe and ESPN, Nate brings a journalist’s depth of knowledge and an analyst’s precision to the betting world. For the past eight years, he’s been a senior NFL handicapper for TheLines.com, where his sharp reads on sides, totals, and player props have built him a loyal following. Nate’s success starts with his early market entry, identifying soft lines before the public and the books fully adjust, locking in value where others hesitate. He has a keen eye for under-the-radar player prop lines, recognizing inefficiencies days before game day. Like the most successful NFL bettors, Nate blends deep statistical modeling with an unmatched ability to interpret coach interviews, injury reports, and subtle scheme changes that can swing a game — or a bet. If you want disciplined, data-driven bets with the kind of detail only a seasoned pro can provide, Nate Weitzer is exactly who you want in your corner this NFL season.

Nate Weitzer

With 10+ years covering the NFL and NBA for The Boston Globe and ESPN, Nate brings a journalist’s depth of knowledge and an analyst’s precision to the betting world. For the past eight years, he’s been a senior NFL handicapper for TheLines.com, where his sharp reads on sides, totals, and player props have built him a loyal following. Nate’s success starts with his early market entry, identifying soft lines before the public and the books fully adjust, locking in value where others hesitate. He has a keen eye for under-the-radar player prop lines, recognizing inefficiencies days before game day. Like the most successful NFL bettors, Nate blends deep statistical modeling with an unmatched ability to interpret coach interviews, injury reports, and subtle scheme changes that can swing a game — or a bet. If you want disciplined, data-driven bets with the kind of detail only a seasoned pro can provide, Nate Weitzer is exactly who you want in your corner this NFL season.

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