Week 6 NFL Best Bets

Nate's NFL Bets Sunday Week 6

NFL Bets
October 10, 2025•3 min read

NFL Week 6 Bets

Ashton Jeanty o75.5 Rush Yds (-113 DK)

SGP - Ashton Jeanty 70+ Rush Yds / 16+ Rush ATT / Raiders ML (+130 DK)

Hassan Haskins o36.5 Rush Yds (-115 DK)

SGP - Hassan Haskins 40+ Rush Yds / Chargers ML (+158 DK)

Tee Higgins o41.5 Rec Yds (-114 DK)

Christian McCaffrey o48.5 Rec Yds (-115 MGM)

Blake Corum o25.5 Rush Yds (-110 MGM)

Ashton Jeanty o75.5 Rush Yds (-113 DraftKings)

Playable to 77.5

The Titans can't stop the run with T'Vondre Sweat on I.R. and they've barely been able to possess it with the worst third-down conversion rate in football. Jeanty has seen monster usage with 44 carries + targets over his last two outings. He played 85% of snaps in a close loss to the Bears at home and still saw a ton of work in a blowout road loss. The Raiders are far more likely to control the action at home vs. a terrible Titans squad.

SGP - Jeanty 70+ Rush Yds / 16+ Rush ATT / Raiders ML (+130 DraftKings)

Establishing Jeanty will be key for the Raiders to protect Geno Smith from turnovers and sacks. They win this game on his back, so 16-plus rush attempts is an easy benchmark to set. The Titans have yielded at least 16 rush attempts to every lead back they've faced this season, including 18 carries to Michael Carter and the Cardinals last week. Jeanty is averaging 5.7 YPC at home vs. 3.4 YPC on the road this season. The Raiders have been much better at home over the past two-plus seasons.

Hassan Haskins o36.5 Rush Yds (-113 DraftKings)

SGP - Haskins 40+ Rush Yds / Chargers ML (+158 DraftKings)

Haskins should get first crack at carries ahead of Kimani Vidal in a timeshare with Hampton out. The Chargers need to establish the run to negate their horrific pass protection in recent weeks. Miami is giving up an insane 174.2 rushing YPG, so both Haskins and Vidal should be able to clear 40 yards if they have positive game flow. The Chargers defense will pose problems for Tua with zone coverages.

Tee Higgins o41.5 Rec Yds (-114 DraftKings)

Playable to 45.5 Rec Yds

This number is available as low as 39.5 yards at BetMGM. Higgins has been quiet with Jake Browning, but the Bengals receivers are galvanized by the addition of Joe Flacco. The Bengals can't run the ball and the Packers are No. 1 limiting RB scoring. Flacco averaged 40 attempts per game with a run-heavy Browns team before coming over. Cincinnati is averaging the second-most attempts per game and playing at the sixth-fastest pace this season. I like Higgins in Flacco's first game because they can connect on "schoolyard plays" i.e. back-shoulder throws etc. with Flacco still learning the playbook.

Christian McCaffrey o48.5 Rec Yds (-110 BetMGM)

Playable to 54.5 Rec Yds

This opening number is sure to go up considering McCaffrey is averaging 77.4 receiving YPG this season. Mac Jones has targeted him even more, leading to 9 catches for 85 YPG in his last two starts with Jones under center. Look for more quick target in a matchup at Tampa, a team that blitzes relentlessly and yielded the fifth-most receptions to RBs last season. The Niners are 5th in pass-play rate and are running the most offensive plays per game with Jones at the helm of a "quick game" attack. Ricky Pearsall and George Kittle are likely to miss this game.

Blake Corum o25.5 Rush Yds (-110 BetMGM)

Playable to 29.5 Rec Yds

Correlation play possible here with the Rams (-7.5) or Rams adjusted to -9.5 in a blowout spot. The Ravens are limping into a Week 7 bye with massive injuries on defense. Kyren Williams could use a lighter workload after handling 60 touches his last three games. Corum had extra practice time to get out the doghouse after fumbling in Week 5. In three games prior to that gaff he was averaging 39.3 rushing YPG and playing on 28% snaps, with a solid 5-44-TD line in the Rams only comfortable win of the season, over the Titans.

betslybland your betssports bettingnfl bettingnflNate Weitzernfl propsWeek 6 NFL
With 10+ years covering the NFL and NBA for The Boston Globe and ESPN, Nate brings a journalist’s depth of knowledge and an analyst’s precision to the betting world. For the past eight years, he’s been a senior NFL handicapper for TheLines.com, where his sharp reads on sides, totals, and player props have built him a loyal following. Nate’s success starts with his early market entry, identifying soft lines before the public and the books fully adjust, locking in value where others hesitate. He has a keen eye for under-the-radar player prop lines, recognizing inefficiencies days before game day. Like the most successful NFL bettors, Nate blends deep statistical modeling with an unmatched ability to interpret coach interviews, injury reports, and subtle scheme changes that can swing a game — or a bet. If you want disciplined, data-driven bets with the kind of detail only a seasoned pro can provide, Nate Weitzer is exactly who you want in your corner this NFL season.

Nate Weitzer

With 10+ years covering the NFL and NBA for The Boston Globe and ESPN, Nate brings a journalist’s depth of knowledge and an analyst’s precision to the betting world. For the past eight years, he’s been a senior NFL handicapper for TheLines.com, where his sharp reads on sides, totals, and player props have built him a loyal following. Nate’s success starts with his early market entry, identifying soft lines before the public and the books fully adjust, locking in value where others hesitate. He has a keen eye for under-the-radar player prop lines, recognizing inefficiencies days before game day. Like the most successful NFL bettors, Nate blends deep statistical modeling with an unmatched ability to interpret coach interviews, injury reports, and subtle scheme changes that can swing a game — or a bet. If you want disciplined, data-driven bets with the kind of detail only a seasoned pro can provide, Nate Weitzer is exactly who you want in your corner this NFL season.

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