TNF Week 2 Bets

Jayden Daniels U 9.5 Rush Att (-143 DK | 1.4u)

Zach Ertz O 32.5 Rec yds (-112 FD)

Tucker Kraft TD (+220 FD | .5u)

Luke Musgrave TD (+1100 DK | .3u)

Jayden Daniels U 9.5 Rush Att (-143 DK | 1.4u)

Playable to -150

The wonderful Swish and his subjective projections are continuing to pull out info on Jaden Daniels usage, noting that the coaches have made clear they want fewer designed runs early in the game to preserve him late in case they need his legs then.

He had 11 att vs NYG, which includes 3 kneel downs at the end of a game they had full control over from 2Q onwards. This game is expected to be close, making kneel downs a lot less likely.

GB was 9th limiting QB rush yds last year. Granted that was vs Goff and Darnold, twice, but their front 7 is top 10 in the league and will have its eyes all over Daniels.

Zach Ertz O 32.5 Rec yds (-112 FD)

Playable to 34.5 yds

He split snaps w/ Bates last game but ran all of the routes, as Bates is a run blocking TE first and foremost.

WAS rushed for 220 on the weak ass G Men rush defense and that led to only 5 targets on 30 routes for Ertz

WAS should have to pass a bit more vs GB, whose rush defense is top 10 once again this season, and held Gibbs + Monty to 2.1 YPC last week.

Ertz should see his involvement go up in a closer game that requires the Commanders to step on the gas a lot more than they did vs NYG. He ran 80% of the routes available in 13 of 21 games last season, and that inludes a great record in night games, indicating his involvement goes up when the stakes are higher and they need a reliable pass catcher.

GB meanwhile, is weakest up the seams and vs the slot, based primarily on their defensive philosophy. Which is - stop the run by bringing the LBs up and leaving space behind them 8-12 yards downfield. It's why they ranked 25 vs TE yards, and 23rd vs their receptions last year.

Tucker Kraft TD (+220 FD | .5u)

Luke Musgrave TD (+1100 DK | .3u)

Jordan Love(s) his TEs and he's getting a ton of 2 TE sets this season. Both of these monster TEs should see snaps inside the red zone.

Kraft is a reliable TD option each week as we saw in Week 1. He received Love's first 2 targets inside opposing territory last week, including the first rz target from the 15 when he caught a TD on a dime from Love.

Musgrave saw 36% of the snaps and ran 18% of the possible routes when he was in. He didn't get a rz target but he was out there for most of that first drive that ended in the Kraft tuddy. Therre's a reason it's 11-1 so let's put a few chips on Lukey Luke and see if the roullette wheel calls his number tonight.