🏀 WNBA Tuesday July 22
Tuesday Record: 4-4, -0.4u
Dearica Hamby O 15.5 PTS (-114 FD)
Playable to -135
Love Hamby again in this matchup after taking 19 shots vs WAS last game.,
WAS has been a bottom 3 defense in the paint as they focus so heavily on the 3PT line.,
Averaging 17.2 ppg on the szn and 19.7 ppg over her last 6,
Napheesa Collier O 21.5 PTS (-115 FD)
Playable to -135
Still too low at 21.5 for Pheesa. CHI has played her tough in the past, but she found her rhythm in the last 2, scoring 26 and 29 pts.,
I think the large spread is keeping her pts prop too high but CHI has played them well over the last 2 years, especially when both Reese and Cardoso are available.
Breanna Stewart U 11.5 RA (-125 B365)
Playable to 10.5 (+100)
Jonquel is back and even tho she's on a minutes limit, it's getting crowded in the frontcourt after they signed Emma Meeseman (look her up, she's an OG stretch big).,
It's tough to say what the matchups will look like today, but the increase in NYL's size pushes Stewy further out to the perimeter to guard wings instead of power forwards/centers.,
With Jonquel and Fiebich playing this season, she's at 8.4 RA per game / under in 5 of 7
Paige Bueckers O 17.5 PTS (+100 DK)
Playable to -130
Continuing to buy into the recent tweak to the Wings' offense that Swish put me on to. They're using Quinnerly on ball to allow Paige to receive a pass on the wing and work 1v1 from there. The result has been a slight uptick in usage rate and shot attempts over the last 5 games, even with Arike back for 2 of those games.,
While it's tough to score vs SEA as a spot up shooter, they'll leave their defenders 1v1 and allow players like Paige to get theirs.
Allisha Gray O 9.5 RA (+105 B365)
Playable to -115
Howard is still out until at least August with no timetable for return. Without her, Gray is up to 12.7 RA per game in 3 games.,
Without Howard on court overall this season, Gray is averaging 11.1 RA per 30 minutes. She isn't scoring more, but she's rebounding a ton and on ball to assist more with the defense slightly more focused on limiting her scoring.
A’ja Wilson 25+ PTS (+130 FD)
Playable to +110
Not only do I believe in A'ja's recent tear (34 and 37 pts last 2 games), but she loves going at Griner. In her last 4 vs Griner, she's averaging 34.8 ppg and 12.4 rpg.,
Jackie Young is also legit questionable which would only open up more shots for A'ja. Although, I'm not sure if A'ja can take more shots than she already has been the last 2 games with a 34% usage rate. She clearly realizes she needs to shoot as her team is 6-3 when she takes 18+ shots this season.
Aari McDonald 10+ PTS (+114 FD)
Playable to +100
The Liberty defense is weak in one spot on the floor, and that's whomever Sabrina is guarding up top. That will be McDonald once again with CC out, just like last game when she got us to 10 pts exactly.,
She's averaging 10 ppg without CC this season, over in 6 of 9. Most importantly, she's getting 30+ minutes per game. I don't feel comfortable with much for IND since I don't like them to keep it close today, but McDonald's matchup is solid and her usage rate goes way up without CC.,
Li Yueru O 6.5 REB (-115 DK)
Playable to -135
I loved this bet last night and was hoping that Myisha Hines-Allen wasn't going to play. She got ruled out 10 minutes ago so let's ride.,
SEA has been brutally bad limiting rebounds all year, and 2nd worst in the last 5.,
Li barely came through for us last game vs LVA, but she had the A'ja matchup and got into foul trouble early, limiting her minutes overall.,
Still, in the last 10 games since jumping into the SL, she's at 25.5 mpg // 7.7 rpg.
